We have a portfolio with weights A=20%, B=60%, C=20%. That we have this particular portfolio is really a market prediction. What are the returns that the portfolio is "expecting"? [...]
Monday's Last Word by James Mackintosh in the FTfm states that stock correlations are very high relative to the historical record. He asserts that at least part of this [...]
Except most of the time you get the cheese. The carry trade has been remarkably fruitful, even considering the periodic crashes.
http://www.nber.org/chapters/c7288.pdf
Steven,
Thanks for adding the reference.