February 2nd is Groundhog Day. If Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, then he goes back into his burrow and hibernates for six more weeks. Otherwise he predicts an early [...]
Thinking of the market as having a personality can be fun and educational. But it has a dark side as well. Benjamin Graham The idea of Mr Market was [...]
Fundamental Hawk (perusii balancesheetus) Very discriminating in diet. Often seen scratching in the undergrowth. Subsists on irrationality, short-lived variety only. Macro Harrier (exsanguinus economicus) Flies very high. Reports of [...]
Except most of the time you get the cheese. The carry trade has been remarkably fruitful, even considering the periodic crashes.
http://www.nber.org/chapters/c7288.pdf
Steven,
Thanks for adding the reference.