What do we lose when we use a benchmark? Simple Make everything as simple as possible, but not simpler. -- Albert Einstein Everything should be made as simple as [...]

If a particular prediction comes true, how surprised should we be? The prediction The page that sparked my curiosity tells of a prediction made a year ago that the [...]

The MoneyScience website has recently had a dramatic change. It now has a social infrastructure, and the resources are better organized.  Here I report on the discoveries I've made [...]