We look at a few forecasts for the year 2011 that we've run across, and compare them with the prediction distributions presented in Revised market prediction distributions. FTSE 100 [...]

This provides revised plots of the prediction distributions published yesterday.  The previous plots of prediction distributions should be ignored -- they are not doing as advertised. We show the [...]

Here we give details and code for the prediction distributions exhibited in yesterday's blog post "Tis the season to predict". [Revision: There was a problem with the plots published [...]