December 10, 2012
The Imperial College Algorithmic Trading Conference was Saturday. Talks Massoud Mussavian Massoud gave a great talk on "Algo Evolution". It started with a historical review of how trading used [...]
December 6, 2012
A simpler approach to producing the variability. Previously The post "Variability in long-short decile strategy tests" proposed a way of assessing the variability of strategy tests in which a [...]
December 3, 2012
How to capture return variability when testing strategies with long-short deciles. Traditional practice Question: Does variable X have predictive power for our universe of assets? A common scheme of [...]
November 26, 2012
Performance analysis of an example portfolio. The portfolio We explore a particular portfolio during 2007. It invests in S&P 500 stocks and starts the year with a value of [...]
November 20, 2012
New Events Thalesians (London) 2012 November 21: Isabel Ehrlich on "Basket Options with Smile". Abstract: Due to the distinct lack of models for basket options that remain consistent with [...]
November 19, 2012
An introduction to estimating Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall, and some hints for doing it with R. Previously "The basics of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall" provides [...]
November 12, 2012
Specifics of statistical factor models and of a particular implementation of them. Previously Posts that are background for this one include: Three things factor models do Factor models of [...]
November 5, 2012
When aggregating over both time and assets, the order of aggregation matters. Task We have the weights for a portfolio and we want to use those and a matrix [...]
October 29, 2012
Should you use daily or monthly returns to estimate volatility? Does garch explain why volatility estimated with daily data tends to be bigger than if it is estimated with [...]
October 23, 2012
Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall are common risk measures. Here is a quick explanation. Ingredients The first two ingredients are each a number: The time horizon -- how [...]
