September 17, 2012
Not exactly pin-point accuracy. Previously Two related posts are: A practical introduction to garch modeling garch and long tails Experiment 1000 simulated return series were generated. The garch(1,1) parameters [...]
September 12, 2012
Previously This book and the associated R package were introduced before. Executive Summary A very nice -- and enlightening -- discussion of a wide range of topics. Principles The [...]
August 27, 2012
How much does garch shorten long tails? Previously Pertinent blog posts include: "A practical introduction to garch modeling" "The distribution of financial returns made simple" "Predictability of kurtosis and [...]
August 13, 2012
I unfortunately was not there, but we can vicariously enjoy it via the presentations that are posted on the conference website. Below is my take on the highlights (in [...]
July 30, 2012
How are returns calculated when net asset value goes negative? Previously In "A tale of two returns" we highlighted the similarities and differences of log returns versus simple returns. [...]
July 16, 2012
Portfolio diversity is a balancing act. Previously The post "Portfolio diversity" talked about the role of the correlation between assets and the portfolio. The current post fills a hole [...]
July 9, 2012
An explanation of alpha factor alignment in portfolio optimization, and a look at the spectrum of views on it. Venue FactSet recently hosted an event that included a panel [...]
July 6, 2012
We look at volatility clustering, and some aspects of modeling it with a univariate GARCH(1,1) model. Volatility clustering Volatility clustering -- the phenomenon of there being periods of relative [...]
June 18, 2012
A look at a simplistic measure of stock-picking opportunity. Motivation The interquartile range (the spread of the middle half of the data) has recently been added to the market [...]
June 4, 2012
Maximum drawdown is blazingly variable. Psychology Probably the most salient feature that an investor notices is the amount lost since the peak: that is, the maximum drawdown. Just because [...]
